If you can really “feel” a sport, I don’t just mean know a lot about a sport but actually have enough experience to be able to feel what is going on and what is about to happen then you can do very well with in play betting. You see the odds compilers have one huge obstacle against them, this is that every available piece of data that goes into what the correct theoretical price should be cannot possibly be known…..ever.

This means that the odds can often be wrong, for instance it is impossible for an odds compiler to know what tactics may be employed during certain football matches for example. How can they possibly know what has been worked on in private during the week on the training ground? How can they possibly know what the manager has in mind to combat certain things with regards to the team that they are going to be facing or what research they have done?

Let us look at the England vs Croatia European Championship Qualifier as an example back in 2007, after getting a reprieve the previous weekend when Israel beat Russia, all seemed set for a glorious night against Croatia. But the wily Slaven Bilic totally outfoxed his rival, the then England manager Steve McClaren. It was evident even before the first goal went in that England would be in trouble. They only had to draw the game and even at 1-0 down, everyone was still expectant.

But the pressure was off the Croatian team and when it went to 2-0 shortly after then everyone stood up and took notice that we were in real trouble. But the warning signs were there after our 2-0 defeat in Zagreb months earlier. This is precisely the type of thing that I am talking about, quite often teams get hyped up unrealistically and that often shows in the betting.

There are various factors behind why prices are created at certain levels and one of them is public demand or what the public demand is expected to be. Another factor is what rival competitors are doing and also the relevant data of the two teams as well.

But there is so much inforation that simply isnt known and cannot be known beforehand. So a skilled sport watcher can really cash in here and this is especially the case where the bets can be placed where the time delay isnt critical. I will talk more about this in a later post.

see you later

Carl “The Dean” Sampson